Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2711.059745 2920.906960 3131.459754 3358.250267 3595.310500 3835.484243 4096.895824
2025-11-23 2335.266202 2649.230839 2974.256734 3334.661721 3721.924492 4124.412083 4573.207715
2025-11-30 2143.722814 2525.822865 2930.426082 3388.312446 3889.689419 4419.719271 5020.115668
2025-12-07 1971.269217 2401.347678 2865.786561 3400.575969 3995.431769 4633.092651 5364.619606
2025-12-14 1812.642319 2277.696049 2789.064640 3387.174067 4061.795207 4793.799696 5642.771501
2025-12-21 1647.465658 2134.821217 2680.298986 3327.984997 4068.232046 4880.611773 5832.336547
2025-12-28 1604.255935 2128.344921 2722.872401 3436.773630 4260.661158 5172.322274 6248.124211
2026-01-04 1532.192392 2082.613431 2715.638616 3484.416372 4380.253200 5379.621695 6567.301165
2026-01-11 1444.610919 2013.143554 2676.212207 3490.691023 4448.945336 5526.533583 6816.051124
2026-01-18 1363.601634 1947.243071 2637.247381 3494.101385 4511.426512 5664.061679 7052.283093
2026-01-25 1295.457512 1893.642692 2610.012546 3508.726442 4584.776303 5812.371775 7299.557098
2026-02-01 1214.891481 1820.560747 2555.822719 3488.087275 4614.039052 5907.633704 7484.110364
2026-02-08 1159.672915 1778.436345 2539.070268 3512.874731 4698.230649 6068.662241 7747.605059
2026-02-15 1084.793737 1707.629197 2484.101562 3488.872964 4722.441467 6158.383372 7927.616209
2026-02-22 1051.610206 1689.877254 2494.388555 3544.091194 4841.305090 6359.193010 8237.446519
2026-03-01 1001.904575 1647.690731 2471.712816 3556.713317 4907.187173 6496.315839 8471.858429
2026-03-08 944.128803 1591.944313 2429.466704 3542.919654 4939.247421 6591.981558 8656.466558
2026-03-15 870.599669 1511.180077 2351.940672 3481.993666 4911.142761 6613.805438 8751.983838
2026-03-22 870.795248 1533.504499 2409.816245 3593.966309 5097.666533 6894.792001 9157.349358
2026-03-29 846.553170 1519.918440 2419.198410 3642.991970 5205.394562 7080.364750 9448.763240
2026-04-05 807.470510 1483.316879 2396.495322 3649.448246 5259.019993 7199.729127 9660.471076
2026-04-12 769.458361 1446.626479 2372.366610 3652.957273 5308.108231 7313.016594 9864.567533
2026-04-19 737.618500 1417.679791 2357.707057 3668.005055 5371.164037 7443.029544 10088.744633